Day-Trading Scenarios for ‘———————-Nov 24, 2025
December FOMC cut odds have plunged to ~41–47% (per CME FedWatch and FactSet), down sharply from 97% in mid-October, on hotter jobs/inflation data and a divided FOMC (per recent minutes: “strongly differing views,” with hawks pushing hold at 3.75–4%). Broader tone: Neutral to cautious — positive on resilient earnings/growth but wary of policy uncertainty. Holiday thinning may amplify moves; watch for spill-over from Eurozone data (e.g., ECB’s Elderson at 7:45 AM EST).
Bias into the open: Bullish lean — buy dips to 46,250–46,300. Watch for stochastic hooks. Daily still in downtrend. Consider shorting near next resistance at 46577.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
8:30 AM ET
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
10:30 AM ET
3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
2-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET
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DATE: 11/24/2025
TIME: 8:39 AM
HIGH: 46656
LOW: 45779
CLOSE: 46321
PIVOT: 46252
SUPPORT: 46150
RESISTANCE: 46634
SWING MAGNITUDE: 231
TIME OF COMMENT: 8:39 AM